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China’s Activities in Island States: Sri Lanka as a Case
As strategic Indo-Pacific locations, island states such as Sri Lanka, the Maldives, Mauritius, and Seychelles draw heightened attention amid growing competition between major powers. Adopting a smaller-state analytical lens, this issue brief by Nilanthi Samaranayake examines China’s major activities in Sri Lanka across economic, military, and diplomatic domains. Bilateral cooperation remains stable, and China has been a critical provider of support when Sri Lanka desperately needed military and diplomatic assistance during and after its civil war. Sri Lanka’s need for such assistance has waned since the end of the war in 2009, yet China remains a major trade and infrastructure development partner. Sri Lanka needs China’s partnership as it rebuilds its economy since the 2022 debt default. Island countries can learn from Sri Lanka when considering their domestic needs as developing countries, as well as their concerns about large powers like China, writes Samaranayake. She further argues that Sri Lanka’s experience has become a cautionary tale for island states, like the Maldives, Mauritius, and Seychelles, determined to maintain their agency and survival in the contested Indo-Pacific. Read this issue brief here.
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Russia-Taiwan relations: From bilateral trade to limited interactions with an “unfriendly state”
This piece by Danylo Stonis analyses how the Russia-Ukraine war has affected Russia-Taiwan relations, resulting in a significant decline in trade turnover. Nevertheless, Taiwan’s dependence on fossil fuels, on the one hand, as well as Russia’s need for manufacturing high-tech components for military purposes, on the other, provides a basis for both sides to maintain trade relations, writes Stonis. He further argues that despite a sharp decline in political relations, both countries are likely to maintain unofficial trade relations, driven by mutual economic interests while continuing to pursue fundamentally different foreign policies. Read this piece by Danylo Stonis here.
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Religion in Korea: Of Faith and Freedoms
Lars Vargo writes that throughout history, religion has exerted a decisive influence on political decision-making in Korea. Identifying any single religion as the principal factor shaping Korean patterns of behavior, however, is far from straightforward. Korean culture is better understood as a melting pot in which multiple religious and philosophical traditions have intermingled. Religious traditions and doctrines persist in contemporary South Korean society, while North Korean policymakers maintain that their population has chosen instead to embrace the wisdom associated with the Kim family. Confucianism is frequently said to continue to shape patterns of behavior in both North and South Korea. Other accounts emphasize the considerable influence of Christianity. North Korea’s first leader, Kim Il-sung, for example, grew up in a strictly Christian environment. In more recent years, by contrast, two South Korean presidents have been removed from office following allegations that, among other factors, excessive shamanic influence had led them to act improperly. Nor can the profound influence of Buddhism on the development of Korean culture reasonably be denied, writes Vargo. This Focus Asia paper seeks to illustrate the richness of thought to which Korea’s religious and philosophical traditions have contributed. Read and download the paper here.
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Middle-lateralism under international order transition: institutional design in an era of renewed great-power competition
This research article by Jae Jeok Park and Jagannath Panda explores the concept of “middle-laterals” as an emerging category for international cooperation typologies. As states adapt to a multipolar world marked by complex security dynamics, shifting power balances, and transnational challenges, they increasingly seek cooperation formats that balance flexibility with structured engagement. Middle-laterals embody this balance by adopting selective membership, issue-specific focus, and a moderate level of institutionalization, allowing members to pursue shared interests without the binding commitments typical of traditional multilateralism. Through a conceptual analysis, this article identifies the defining characteristics of middle-laterals, including their unique group identity formation, semi-permanent nature, and operational adaptability. It uses the Quadrilateral Security Dialogue (Quad) 2.0 and BRICS Plus to illustrate what a middle-lateral looks like in practice. Park and Panda argue that middle-laterals play a critical role in addressing specific global challenges while complementing existing minilaterals and multilateral institutions. Read this article on the journal's website here.
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Is There Anything “Strategically Stable” between Beijing and Washington?
This piece by Upamanyu Basu and Sriparna Pathak contextualizes that there is nothing strategic about US-China “strategic stability”; neither is there anything stable. Two reasons substantiate this. First, there is no visible agreement on the hardest questions between the two countries: Taiwan, maritime disputes, and nuclear arms were completely left out. Second, the “truce” has a clear political expiry date, tied to who sits next in Capitol Hill. A more accurate label for this relationship would be “deferred competition” rather than “strategic stability”, write Basu and Pathak. They further write that for New Delhi, the stakes are practical. Read this piece here.
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China’s Regime Influence on Siliguri Corridor States: The Cases of Bangladesh, Bhutan, and Nepal
China’s growing influence in South Asia extends beyond its global maritime ambitions to the political, economic, and strategic dynamics of its immediate neighborhood. This paper by Antonina Luszczykiewicz-Mendis examines how Beijing shapes policy choices and political outcomes in Bangladesh, Bhutan, and Nepal, three countries whose geopolitical significance is heightened by their proximity to the strategically vital Siliguri Corridor. It develops an analytical framework encompassing three dimensions of Chinese influence: geopolitical pressure, investment and trade, and cultural and narrative influence. The analysis explores how territorial disputes, gray-zone tactics, military activities, infrastructure development, and upstream water management serve as instruments of strategic leverage. It also assesses the implications of Chinese investment, particularly under the Belt and Road Initiative, for economic dependence and political autonomy. At the ideational level, the paper investigates Beijing’s efforts to promote the term “Xizang” instead of “Tibet” in international discourse, highlighting the relationship between linguistic conventions, sovereignty claims, and asymmetric power relations, writes Luszczykiewicz-Mendis. Read this Focus Asia paper here.
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‘The more China makes claims of Japanese militarism, the more anti-China sentiment grows within Japan’: An Interview with Professor Kokubun Ryosei
Japan and China bilateral relations are currently facing severe strain. Following remarks by Japanese Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi in November regarding a potential Taiwan contingency, and Beijing’s subsequent accusations of a Japanese “resurgence of militarism”, high-level dialogues and person-to-person exchanges have been canceled, military activity in and around the East China Sea has heightened, and China has implemented export controls on several Japanese companies and institutions. To understand whether this moment represents an unprecedented crisis or a familiar cyclical downturn, this Experts’ Take explores the intersecting historical, economic, and political patterns driving Tokyo and Beijing’s complex relationship today. To navigate these issues, Viktor Hellbom, Mathilde Huard, and Diana Nieto Cruz sat down with Professor Kokubun Ryosei, a leading authority on Sino-Japanese relations and Chinese domestic and foreign policy. Read this expert's take here.