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China

From a European perspective, the sheer numbers involved when one considers China are staggering.  One in every five people alive today lives in the People's Republic of China, which has a current population of roughly 1.35 billion.  Over the past 20 years, China has undergone rapid urbanization, driven by explosive economic growth, and now more than half its population live in cities. China’s economic transformation began in the late 1970’s when it abandoned central planning and pursued policies of ‘reform and opening up’, and recently China overtook Japan to become the world's second-largest economy in terms of GDP.

The current economic system is best described as 'state-led capitalism', i.e. a market economy in which the government and State Owned Enterprises (SOEs) play a leading role. Much of the dynamism of the Chinese economy over the past thirty years has come from its ability to manufacture goods for export at low-cost, but with rising wages China's priorities are now to ascend the value chain and develop its own domestic consumer market.

The People's Liberation Army (PLA) is now in the process of transforming itself from a largely mechanized army to a technologically sophisticated one, capable of winning 'local wars under informationized conditions' and has invested heavily in networked and technologically sophisticated systems.  Large increases in the annual budget allocation for defense have supported the modernization drive.

In the security area, China is playing an increasingly important international role, as seen in its contributions to UN peacekeeping operations and to anti-piracy operations off the coast of Somalia.  As China's interests expand overseas – particularly in politically unstable, resource-rich countries – the PLA may find itself called upon more often to guarantee the security of Chinese nationals working overseas.

Through its China Initiative project, ISDP follows developments in China's political, military and economic affairs closely and works with partner institutions such as the PLA Academy of Military Science (AMS) and the China Institutes for Contemporary International Relations (CICIR) in order to better understand China's contemporary realities and to foster dialogue and exchange between China and Europe.


China's Military Transformation Print Email
China Initiative - Projects

The rapid rise of China as a political and economic power with significant and growing global influence has major implications not only for Northeast Asia but the world at large. The international community welcomes the rise of a stable and prosperous China, able to take on a leadership role in Asia for the stability of regional peace and security. China has played a proactive role in fostering security ties with a number of Asian countries in recent years as well as investing in multilateral institutions. However, uncertainty surrounds China's continued expansion and transformation of its military forces.

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Cross-Strait Relations Print Email
China Initiative - Projects

A potential conflict in the Taiwan Strait could serve to critically undermine the stability of the region. The People´s Republic of China approximately has 900 to 1,000 missiles on alert within striking distance of Taiwan. Taiwan has continued its military build-up against China's military threat and request US arms sale to Taiwan.

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Domestic Development Print Email
China Initiative - Projects

During the past decade, China's economic growth has averaged 8-9 per cent a year and has witnessed extensive economic expansion with massive foreign investment. Even during the current global downturn, China has been the primary driver behind recovering of global economy. China has set itself the target of-according to its long-term social and economic development plan-achieving by 2020 a fourfold growth in GDP compared to that in 2000. Despite this goal, there are several reasons for concern in domestic contexts, the reason being that there are a number of risks and uncertainties that threaten to undermine the sustainability of China's domestic development, such as an environmental problem, rise in energy demands and the massive unemployed population. What is more, rebalancing growth between urban and rural areas, between rich and poor people and between ethnic majority and minority will depress domestic demand and could feed social instability.

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Sino-European Relations Print Email
China Initiative - Projects

Both past and presently, Sino-European relations have been secondary to both actors and the US has had primacy in both respective foreign policies. This has created a situation where both the Chinese and Europeans exhibit a serious lack of understanding of one another, which is the root cause of many misunderstandings. The most important and dangerous symptom of this dysfunctional relationship is suspicion, because suspicion breeds mistrust. This is a curious observation considering interaction and trade between the two actors has increased, whilst trust has decreased and has arguably never been lower. This is despite an increased need and interest to cooperate on areas ranging from social and welfare issues to the combating of piracy and peacekeeping. There have been a number of high-level Sino-European meetings but these have not evidenced the progress needed.

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Sino-Japanese Relations Print Email
China Initiative - Projects

Throughout history, the relationship between China and Japan has more often than not been marked by mistrust and animosity, or even violent conflict. Despite three decades of normalized bilateral relations, several past and present issues serve to complicate the relation between the two states. Since a positive and functioning relationship between China and Japan, the two great powers in Northeast Asia, in many ways is a prerequisite for peace and stability in the region, a souring bilateral relationship is not only problematic for the states involved, but has implications for neighboring states and the international community at large. Against this background, it has become increasingly important to understand, identify and implement measures that can prevent and manage conflicts and disputes between these two states.

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Sino-Russian Relations Print Email
China Initiative - Projects

This project aims to bring together scholars specializing on Sino-Russian relations to address the current status of Sino-Russian relations in the political, military, energy and trade sectors. We aim at producing a comprehensive account on the current status of relations between Russia and China in the sectors outlined above and the geo-political realignments that have occurred in Eurasia in the last 2-3 years. This will be done by exploring overlapping interests and tensions between these two states. Apart from the purely bilateral relations, a focus will be on Central Asia as the region is a major determinant of contemporary Sino-Russian relations.

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Publications on China

Niklas Swanström, Kelly Chen
Chinese Opinion Jars with Policy on Korea
COMMENTARY, Asia Times, May 17, 2013 Webpage Link
Ebba Mårtensson, Evelyne DeBoeck
Arctic Ambitions: China, India, and the Arctic Council
POLICY BRIEF, No. 123, May 14, 2013 Webpage Link
David Mulrooney
China's changing calculus on North Korea (republished)
COMMENTARY, Asia Times, May 02, 2013 Webpage Link
David Mulrooney
A Changing Calculus Towards North Korea in Beijing?
POLICY BRIEF, No. 122, April 25, 2013 Webpage Link
Elliot Brennan
The “Fracking” Revolution Comes to China
ANALYSIS, The Diplomat, March 21, 2013 Webpage Link
Niklas Swanström, Leah Oppenheimer
Invisible Ink: Looking for the Lost Trade between China, Russia, and Central Asia
POLICY BRIEF, No. 117, March 13, 2013 Webpage Link
Elliot Brennan
Shale Gas: The Key in the US’ Asia Pivot? (republished)
COMMENTARY, China US Focus, March 08, 2013 Webpage Link
Christopher O´ Hara
Kachin Unrest: China’s Mixed Blessing (republished)
COMMENTARY, The Irrawaddy, March 07, 2013 Webpage Link
Elliot Brennan
Shale Gas: The Key in the US’ Asia Pivot?
POLICY BRIEF, No. 115, February 27, 2013 Webpage Link
Sangsoo Lee
North Korea: Nukes, Nationalism & Negotiations
POLICY BRIEF, No. 112, February 08, 2013 Webpage Link
Elliot Brennan
The Next Oil? Rare Earth Metals
COMMENTARY, The Diplomat, January 10, 2013 Webpage Link
Liang Xiaojun
Chinese Official Negotiators: Mindset and Practice
ASIA PAPER, December 17, 2012, pp. 34 Webpage Link
Cheryl Benard, Eli Sugarman, Holly Rehm
Cultural Heritage vs. Mining on the New Silk Road? Finding Technical Solutions for Mes Aynak and Beyond
CONFERENCE REPORT, December 2012, pp. 44 Webpage Link
Niklas Swanström
Battle of Wills: China’s Relations with Japan
COMMENTARY, Japan Today, November 06, 2012 Webpage Link

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